Microsoft, IBM will all face some real challenges in 2009. I don't want to spell any gloom but I'd suggest the big houses to tighten up their belts as 2009 will be a bad year for Tech Giants, Moderate year for moderate players and a great year for those who are busy shedding fat.
Clouds don't care! Clouds never did, never will. Even when they achieve some level of nationalization, they still will be many, multi-colored and multi-vendor driven. This is the coming of the industrialization of the internet.
Tarry
On Mon, Dec 15, 2008 at 6:01 AM, Darryl Carlton <darryl@technovate.net> wrote:
back at the end of the 1990's, around the turn of the century, SAP surveyed its customer base and asked if anyone was seriously interested in using the internet for access to their SAP R3 system. The resounding and loud response was NO!
on this basis, SAP announced that they would not be investing in a "cloud based solution" for any of its offerings.
the response was perfectly accurate at the time ... their customers were not interested. A condition which was clearly evident when Apple first announced its personal computer (a bicycle for the mind).
Much later, Harvard academic Clayton Christensen labelled this behaviour "The Innovators Dilemma" where companies which actually listen to their customers miss the big changes which are occuring in the marketplace. He further identified that the truly innovative solutions were initially perceived as being "sub-standard" from the perspective of features and functionality (an example here would be Google Apps versus Microsoft Office) but they grew to meet the minimum needs of the customer base and at a price and performance point far in advance of their more weighty competitors.
the market doesn't know what it wants, until it is available to them ..... many never recognise the opportunity even when it is staring them in the face and become the market laggards of each product lifecycle.
nobody (including Microsoft and Google) understand where this market is going ... there are going to be huge and massive changes to the manner in which solutions are delivered and perceived.
Just as Edison invented a device to teach the hearing-impaired, and Almond Strowger a means of connecting two telephone lines .... lots of developments will be deployed in ways never imagined by their creators to fundamentally redefine this market.
Microsoft and Google do not have a lock on this market ..... far from it !!!
Ed Loessi wrote:it's a good thing that Google didn't believe the same thing about Yahoo (Alta Vista etc. etc.) and the opportunity in search :)
Ed
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On Sun, Dec 14, 2008 at 7:29 AM, saad syed <saadsyed@hotmail.co.uk> wrote:
Dear All
I recently mentioned the the cloud computing concept to a client (i.e. to offer cloud computing to their customers) and got the following email response:
"I have passed this through our IT dept. and their view was that the big players (Microsoft and Google) are leaving little room for other companies to grow in this area. "
To what extent is this true/false?
Many Thanks
Saad
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