[ Cloud Computing ] Re: Compute surface as a traded commodity?

"Do end users really need to see this level of complexity?"

No, but they're not cloud computing's direct target. There are several levels of abstraction before the customized "service" reaches the end user. You're right, the end user wants commodities delivered simply and reliably. The direct target of cloud computing (enterprises, xSPs) DO want complexity. In fact, the more complex the better for many...they trade the cost of complexity for the flexibility and differentiality of service. Then other direct users will prefer a cloud computer who more directly provides that 'simplicity', as long as the cost per GHzFSBMem is low and predictable.

We'll witness a pre-cambrian explosion of end user, middlemen, and cloud providers over the next fifty years. Eventually, natural economic selection will take its course. Those in each category able to project a long-term reality of customer satisfaction, profitability and shareholder value will eat or absorb the non-productive. And eventually, the productive will die as new niche players show better value prop, shareholder value and customer sat. End users will drive this natural selection process, depending on their group and individual needs.

Dave

On Tue, Dec 16, 2008 at 1:26 PM, Paul Moxon <paul@moxonsonline.com> wrote:

Do end users really need to see this level of complexity? Internally, the cloud provider might want to base the charge rates on various measurements, such as CPU, memory, bus speed, etc. However, the end user will probably want something much simpler e.g. I want to run on a (virtual) single host or on a cluster or, even, I want 24x7 availability. Elastica uses a fairly simple system like this when you build an application to be deployed in their cloud. Anything more complex can make it overwhelming for anyone but the most sophisticated user.

 

To continue Ray Nugent's comparison of petroleum and West Texas sweet light, when I buy gasoline for my car, I get the choice of Regular or Premium at the pump. Now, I don't know what goes into the regular gasoline blend…how much is West Texas sweet light, or Brent light or Saudi heavy oil…and, guess what, I don't care. The regular gasoline is good enough for my 8-year old Jeep and that's all that I need to know. Similarly, end users don't want to be confused by a huge menu of CPU speeds, memory allocations, bus speeds, etc. – if you keep it simple, then they will get it (as long as they can upgrade to a different configuration if needed).

 

Paul.

 

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From: cloud-computing@googlegroups.com [mailto:cloud-computing@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of William Louth (JINSPIRED.COM)
Sent: Tuesday, December 16, 2008 12:59 PM

To: cloud-computing@googlegroups.com
Subject: [ Cloud Computing ] Re: Compute surface as a traded commodity?

 

I am not sure why we are looking for one single resource to meter. I would expect that various resource meters will be used as cost drivers in determining appropriate charges that will be passed up to the next layer on the cloud computing stack with each layer in the stack introducing its own meters derived partially from lower level meters - partially because there must be value added somewhere.

Once we get above the bare metal platform I expect to see more diversity in costing and billing approaches. Currently we seem to have carried over a large amount of baggage tied to current (legacy in this context) enterprise system/network management approaches that provide very coarse grain resource metering at the process level or data traffic pattern levels. I am confident this will change to more (user/software) activity based costing with the metering correlated to actual software execution performed on behalf of the user or cloud service. Unlike our opaque OS based process containers threads of execution in the cloud will operate as lawyers do today - billing the client context for every activity perform using various meters (wall clock time, number of photocopied sheets, number of letters dispatches with postage,........). Threads will not touch a resource unless they have a client billing code. This will never be possible with ESM/NSM because one cannot see the computing above it and the other below it.

http://www.jinspired.com/products/jxinsight/meteringthecloud.html

Kind regards,

William


Christopher Drumgoole wrote:

Given the variances in CPU clock speeds, Gigahertz Hour is easier to

compare.

---

Chris Drumgoole 

-----Original Message-----

From: cloud-computing@googlegroups.com

[mailto:cloud-computing@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of Pittard, Rick

Sent: Tuesday, December 16, 2008 11:50 AM

To: cloud-computing@googlegroups.com

Subject: [ Cloud Computing ] Re: Compute surface as a traded commodity?

Actually, the price of a barrel of oil is for a very specific grade at a

specific location.  The real prices vary depending on quality and

location - maybe just like a CPU-hour should.

Rick

-----Original Message-----

From: cloud-computing@googlegroups.com

[mailto:cloud-computing@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of Jim Houghton

Sent: Tuesday, December 16, 2008 9:16 AM

To: cloud-computing@googlegroups.com

Subject: FW: [ Cloud Computing ] Compute surface as a traded commodity?

Interesting thread ... I had discussions with executives at a large

investment bank (one of the few still around today!) as far back as 2002

when we were implementing large grids for risk & portfolio analysis that

leveraged 'scavenged' resources for some of the compute footprint.  I

agree

this will happen, but interoperability is not the only obstacle.

Placing

security off to the side - let's assume for the discussion someone has

already overcome their technology or compliance hang-ups - there is a

major

business challenge to overcome.

We all know what an ounce of gold, or bushel of corn, or a barrel of oil

is

around the globe.  So what is the equivalent unit of trade for computing

cycles?

 Think before you answer ... 'CPU hour' just wants to jump off your

tongue,

but as we all know not all CPU's are created equal (even by the same

manufacturer).  Then of course there's memory, bus speed, network

bandwidth,

network throughput, operating system, latency to/from your origination

point, disk read/write speed ... I could go on and so can you. I've been

living this for 6+ years working with clients who want to build internal

utilities (clouds), and even there it's difficult to get agreement as

this

forms the basis for what they are going to get charged for the resources

they consume.  It's not much of a 'utility' if users got a flat annual

allocation charge, is it?  Yet that's by far the most common situation

in

large enterprises today.

There's the closet economist in me who feels (hopes) someone will just

start

such a market and soon thereafter the laws of supply and demand will set

the

appropriate prices.  Those with high quality service will be sold out

and

can increase their prices, with the reverse also true.  However,

especially

with the current state of global economic affairs, I am doubtful it will

happen anytime soon.  Nor do I think we can count on any standards forum

to

tackle such an issue, and the major vendors will undoubtedly look at

normalization (translate: commoditization) of their technologies as a

bad

thing.

Anyway, hopefully this provokes some thoughts - look forward to your

responses.

 Jim

_________________

Jim Houghton

CTO and Founder

Adaptivity, Inc.

(845) 494-9419

www.adaptivity.com

-----Original Message-----

From: cloud-computing@googlegroups.com [mailto:] On Behalf Of Simon

Plant

Sent: Tuesday, December 16, 2008 7:03 AM

To: cloud-computing@googlegroups.com

Subject: [ Cloud Computing ] Compute surface as a traded commodity?

Bruce wrote:

Will the "Cloud" ever become a pool of hosting providers who pitch

their

prices, SLA's and storage cost so customers will come to their "cloud"

for

services?

I foresee a time into the future where the compute surface is

virtualized

and standardized enough that hosting contracts can be traded as a

commodity

on a market, rather than the RFP type process we have today. 

Such agreement would allow business to place a deal on an exchange much

like

FX today and get bids to run based on some parameters.  IT hosters would

price the deal with a spread in the same way as a currency trade today,

the

deal done in a matter of seconds and hosted for the duration of a

contract

window.

 If virtualization vendors deliver on their hybrid end-vision, this could

be

a reality of packaging workloads with SLA manifests and using internet

vMotion-type tools to migrate. It would fundamentally change the way we

write software frameworks and applications themselves to be more self

contained and highly standardized to achieve the best 'tradability'. 

Interoperability via standards between VM platforms, portability of

data,

code business logic and processes are all key to how we build out the

Cloud.

Such openness may be a far extreme view, but would you want the opposite

view of the world where switching costs and lock-in are extremely

constraining and we are forever stuck in a platform cycle of

distribute-and-consolidate?

Simon Plant

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